Election polling had a pretty good rep until 2016. But it turns out they weren't far off even then. It's really the media driving the narrative. Learn all about how election polling works today.
# Stuff You Should Know - Election Polling Summary
Josh and Chuck dive into the surprisingly complex world of election polling, exploring why the 2016 polls weren't actually as wrong as everyone thought but were wildly misrepresented by the media. They break down how pollsters use random sampling, margins of error, and statistical weighting to predict elections, explaining why asking just a thousand people can actually tell us a lot about what hundreds of millions of voters might do. Along the way, you'll learn about the quirky history of polling in America, from straw polls on trains to modern phone surveys, and discover why the real culprit behind the 2016 surprise wasn't bad pollingβit was that pollsters failed to account for an unprecedented surge of non-college-educated white voters who had never voted in such high numbers before.
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